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Quick Facts
- If Ukraine loses to Russia, NATO countries could face an emboldened, “battle-hardened” Russian army.
- US military aid to Ukraine is crucial to prevent a potential Russian advance towards NATO borders.
- An independent and well-equipped Ukraine could make a Russian attack on NATO more difficult and costly.
In a recent analysis, the Institute for the Study of War’s Fredrick W. Kagan warned that the fall of Ukraine to Russia could embolden an aggressive Russian army, posing a significant threat to NATO countries. Kagan emphasized the critical role of US military aid in preventing a potential Russian advance towards NATO borders, particularly through Ukraine. The analyst stressed that a strong and independent Ukraine is essential in deterring Russian aggression, making a future attack on NATO more difficult and costly for Moscow.
According to Kagan, the success or failure of Ukraine’s efforts to defend itself against Russian aggression will significantly impact the prospects of a future Russian attack on NATO’s northeastern flank. The analyst highlighted the urgent need for the US to provide military support to Ukraine, as it plays a crucial role in preserving the security of NATO countries. Kagan emphasized that empowering Ukraine to stand strong against Russia is in the best interests of the US and the broader alliance, regardless of Ukraine’s NATO membership status.
Amidst the ongoing conflict, Ukraine has been waiting for a decision on billions of dollars in US aid from Congress. The country’s dependence on drones reflects its struggle to find sufficient artillery ammunition and other supplies to sustain its ground forces. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has highlighted the challenges faced by Ukraine in fighting against the well-equipped Russian army and emphasized the critical need for additional weapons and ammunition. Zelenskyy reiterated that supporting Ukraine’s fight against Russia today is essential in preventing potential conflict with NATO in the future.
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